Arkansas Storm Team Forecast: Strong storms possible tonight, much cooler on Sunday

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TONIGHT: Chances for severe to severe storms return to the forecast tonight, mostly across central Arkansas. A cold front will slowly move through the state tonight and produce storms. There is currently a level 2 risk of severe weather for the areas shaded in yellow shown below. Level 1 risk is marked in green.

THREATS: The main threat to these storms tonight will be large hail and damaging winds. The tornado threat remains very low. If the storms stay in one area, small localized flooding cannot be ruled out in places.

TIMING: Storms are expected to start forming around sunset. Below, in the latest HRRR model, storms begin to develop north of metro Little Rock around 6 p.m. Storms are expected to spread across central Arkansas over the next several hours.

Notice that the storms are mostly lingering in central and northern Arkansas. Although bad weather is not desirable, some areas are unlikely to see any rain.

TOMORROW: Showers will linger through the first half of the day on Sunday after a cold front moves through. Temperatures tomorrow afternoon will be in the upper 60’s and low 70’s. Overall, it looks like it will be fairly cloudy tomorrow, but some sun may break through the clouds by the second half of the day.

EXTENDED: It looks like next week will give us quite a taste of fall. Temperatures will likely be in the 50s-60s through the start of the week under mostly sunny skies. Morning lows will be in the 30s-40s. Many areas in central and northern Arkansas will experience the first frost/freeze Wednesday and Thursday morning. Temperatures will begin to slowly warm up again by the second half of the week with highs in the 70s.